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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 12, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
T

Metz
0 - 2
Troyes


Maiga (33'), de Preville (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodrigues (50'), Chavalerin (84')
Azamoum (57')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawTroyes
30.04%26.52%43.44%
Both teams to score 50.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.27%53.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78%75.22%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.41%32.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.87%69.13%
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45%24.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.96%59.04%
Score Analysis
    Metz 30.04%
    Troyes 43.43%
    Draw 26.51%
MetzDrawTroyes
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-1 @ 7.06%
2-0 @ 5.03%
3-1 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.04%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 11.23%
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-2 @ 7.89%
1-3 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.43%

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