SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Troyes |
| 59.35% | 21.56% | 19.09% |
| Both teams to score 54.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.25% | 42.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.85% | 65.15% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.96% | 14.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.39% | 41.61% |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.87% | 36.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.08% | 72.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.78% 3-1 @ 6.51% 3-0 @ 6.4% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 3.2% 4-0 @ 3.14% 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.98% Total : 59.35% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 0-0 @ 5.07% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.17% 1-2 @ 5.16% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.66% Total : 19.09% |
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