Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.