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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 9, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
BL

Nice
3 - 2
Brest

Lopes (38'), Boudaoui (61'), Kamara (89')
Todibo (70')
Lees-Melou (52')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mounie (4', 43')
Lucas (64')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawBrest
41.6%25.98%32.42%
Both teams to score 53.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.29%50.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.39%72.61%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87%24.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56%58.44%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59%29.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59%65.41%
Score Analysis
    Nice 41.6%
    Brest 32.42%
    Draw 25.97%
NiceDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 7.17%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 41.6%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.1%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-2 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 32.42%

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