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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
N

Lyon
2 - 3
Nice

Toko Ekambi (14', 40')
Marcelo (56')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dolberg (27'), Kamara (50'), Saliba (57')
Thuram (45+1'), Todibo (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Nice had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 1-0 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Nice win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawNice
63.23%19.4%17.36%
Both teams to score 59.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43%35.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.38%57.62%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.26%10.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.31%34.69%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28%33.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62%70.37%
Score Analysis
    Lyon 63.23%
    Nice 17.36%
    Draw 19.4%
LyonDrawNice
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 9.01%
1-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 7.29%
3-0 @ 6.71%
4-1 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 3.96%
4-0 @ 3.74%
4-2 @ 2.21%
5-1 @ 1.82%
5-0 @ 1.67%
5-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 63.23%
1-1 @ 8.78%
2-2 @ 5.33%
0-0 @ 3.62%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.4%
1-2 @ 4.77%
0-1 @ 3.93%
0-2 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.93%
1-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 17.36%

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