Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.