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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Feb 21, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
ML

Nice
1 - 2
Metz

Gouiri (61' pen.)
Sellouki (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kouyate (15'), Gueye (38')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Metz had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawMetz
40.63%26.93%32.44%
Both teams to score 50.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.44%54.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.09%75.91%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62%26.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46%61.54%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67%31.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31%67.69%
Score Analysis
    Nice 40.63%
    Metz 32.44%
    Draw 26.92%
NiceDrawMetz
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 7.34%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.63%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.27%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 7.42%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.44%

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