Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Metz had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
