Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Nice had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rennes in this match.