Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Krasnodar in this match.