Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.