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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Dec 5, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
PL

Montpellier
1 - 3
PSG

Mavididi (41')
Savanier (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dagba (33'), Kean (77'), Mbappe (90+1')
Kurzawa (13'), Kean (23'), Dagba (42')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-3 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawParis Saint-Germain
12.49%15.93%71.58%
Both teams to score 59.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.84%29.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.82%50.17%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31%35.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54%72.46%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.82%7.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.91%26.09%
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 12.49%
    Paris Saint-Germain 71.58%
    Draw 15.93%
Montpellier HSCDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 3.58%
1-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 1.62%
2-0 @ 1.36%
3-1 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 12.49%
1-1 @ 6.95%
2-2 @ 4.72%
0-0 @ 2.56%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 15.93%
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-2 @ 8.89%
1-3 @ 8.04%
0-3 @ 7.81%
0-1 @ 6.75%
1-4 @ 5.3%
0-4 @ 5.14%
2-3 @ 4.14%
1-5 @ 2.79%
2-4 @ 2.73%
0-5 @ 2.71%
2-5 @ 1.44%
1-6 @ 1.23%
0-6 @ 1.19%
3-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 71.58%

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