Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-3 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
