Nantes need points rapidly if they are to avoid being dragged into a relegation battle, but this weekend's clash is unlikely to be the match that they start their revival with.
Rennes have been one of the standout teams in Ligue 1 this season and more points will likely be on order for the hosts this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 75.61%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 8.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (10.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
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