SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Rennes |
31.55% ( 0.13) | 24.44% ( 0.05) | 44.01% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.38% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.72% ( -0.18) | 44.28% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( -0.17) | 66.65% ( 0.17) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% ( -0.01) | 26.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.91% ( -0.01) | 62.09% ( 0.01) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( -0.15) | 20.25% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.41% ( -0.24) | 52.59% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.55% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.01% |
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