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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
L

St Etienne
1 - 1
Lille

Sow (85')
Khazri (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yilmaz (38')
Djalo (19'), Yilmaz (20'), Xeka (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawLille
30.68%27.59%41.73%
Both teams to score 47.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.44%57.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.66%78.34%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88%34.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19%70.81%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81%27.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4%62.6%
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 30.68%
    Lille 41.72%
    Draw 27.59%
Saint-EtienneDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 6.98%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.68%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 12.08%
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-2 @ 7.87%
1-3 @ 3.67%
0-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 41.72%

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