We said: Monaco 2-1 Strasbourg
Whilst Strasbourg will be better rested than Monaco, who played just 72 hours earlier, the hosts have the momentum from a win in that game to draw upon.
They also have more class in their squad and we are backing them to snatch all three points here with a narrow win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 64.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 14.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.