Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
