Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.