SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Toulouse |
30.92% ( -0.08) | 26.68% ( -0.03) | 42.4% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.96% ( 0.09) | 54.05% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.52% ( 0.07) | 75.48% ( -0.07) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.88% ( -0.01) | 32.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.4% ( -0.01) | 68.6% ( 0.01) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( 0.1) | 25.22% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.04% ( 0.13) | 59.96% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.92% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 11.16% 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.4% |
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