SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-0 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
14.86% ( -0.02) | 20.18% ( -0.01) | 64.97% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.91% ( 0) | 44.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% ( 0) | 66.47% |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.93% ( -0.02) | 42.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.5% ( -0.02) | 78.5% ( 0.02) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.21% ( 0.01) | 12.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.9% ( 0.02) | 39.1% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 1-0 @ 4.66% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.15% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.02% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 14.86% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.38% 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.18% | 0-2 @ 11.37% 0-1 @ 11.06% 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.75% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.01% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.47% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.65% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 64.95% |
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