With this being their second-best attacking start to a Ligue 1 season in 28 years, Toulouse have found their form in attack after a sluggish start, and could take advantage of a Strasbourg defence drained of confidence.
With Stephan now facing the prospect of losing his job if Strasbourg do not get out of the relegation zone soon, they must improve rapidly.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
0.32) 
-0.07) 
