SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
49.92% ( -0.19) | 24.61% ( 0.1) | 25.46% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.49% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.26% ( -0.35) | 48.73% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( -0.32) | 70.84% ( 0.32) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( -0.22) | 19.54% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.55% ( -0.36) | 51.45% ( 0.35) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( -0.12) | 33.52% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% ( -0.13) | 70.15% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 49.92% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.46% |
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