Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Niort had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.