Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Niort had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Niort win was 0-1 (12.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
