Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.01%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
