SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.01%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Amiens |
| 40.2% | 29.46% | 30.34% |
| Both teams to score 42.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.02% | 63.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.83% | 83.17% |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.81% | 31.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.47% | 67.53% |
| Amiens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.15% | 37.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.37% | 74.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Amiens |
| 1-0 @ 13.75% 2-0 @ 8.01% 2-1 @ 7.79% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.19% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.8% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.45% | 0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 6.49% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.68% Total : 30.33% |
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