Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nancy would win this match.
