SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Caen had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Caen |
| 40.69% | 29.13% | 30.18% |
| Both teams to score 43.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.04% | 62.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.56% | 82.44% |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% | 30.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.42% | 66.58% |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% | 37.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.8% | 74.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 13.54% 2-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 7.93% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 0.95% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.36% Total : 40.69% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.11% | 0-1 @ 11.17% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.17% |
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