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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 4
Aug 25, 2021 at 6pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
C

Ajaccio
2 - 0
Caen

Botue (1'), Gonzalez (75')
Courtet (53'), Kalulu (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Deminguet (53'), Lepenant (70')
Mendy (80')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Ajaccio and Caen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Caen had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawCaen
40.69%29.13%30.18%
Both teams to score 43.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.04%62.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.56%82.44%
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62%30.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42%66.58%
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.58%37.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.8%74.2%
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 40.69%
    Caen 30.17%
    Draw 29.11%
AjaccioDrawCaen
1-0 @ 13.54%
2-0 @ 8.07%
2-1 @ 7.93%
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 0.95%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 40.69%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.11%
0-1 @ 11.17%
1-2 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 5.49%
1-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 30.17%

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