SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 35.72%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 1-0 (12.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sochaux | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 34.57% | 29.71% | 35.72% |
| Both teams to score 42.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.82% | 64.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.69% | 83.31% |
| Sochaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.12% | 34.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.38% | 71.62% |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.9% | 34.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.21% | 70.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochaux | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% 2-1 @ 7.1% 2-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.2% Total : 34.56% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 11.89% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.7% | 0-1 @ 12.79% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.71% |
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