Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niort win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niort win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest Nancy win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
