Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 65.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Concarneau had a probability of 14.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Concarneau win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bordeaux in this match.