Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 51.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Pau had a probability of 21.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Pau win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
0.28) 
-0.03) 
