Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Caen had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bordeaux in this match.
0.09) 
-0.05) 
