Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.25%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
-0.48) 
0.88) 
