Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 42.62%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Caen had a probability of 27.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-2 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Caen win it was 1-0 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
