SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.89%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Dijon win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dijon | Draw | Toulouse |
| 21.01% | 26.42% | 52.57% |
| Both teams to score 43.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.59% | 59.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.21% | 79.79% |
| Dijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.29% | 43.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.11% | 79.89% |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% | 22.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.54% | 56.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dijon | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-1 @ 5.04% 2-0 @ 3.41% 3-1 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.03% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.01% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 9.96% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 14.73% 0-2 @ 10.89% 1-2 @ 9.02% 0-3 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 4.45% 0-4 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.63% Total : 52.56% |
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