Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (12.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
