Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 36.22%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.12%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (12.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
