Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 36.04%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Nancy win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
