Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 0-1 (12.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
