Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.41%) and 1-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (12.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nancy would win this match.
