Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for FC Chambly had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.67%) and 1-2 (7.35%). The likeliest FC Chambly win was 1-0 (12.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.
