Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for FC Chambly had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.84%) and 1-2 (7.83%). The likeliest FC Chambly win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.