Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.