Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 2-1 (7.16%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (12.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.