Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 48.59%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Pau had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grenoble would win this match.