Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.88%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Grenoble win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
