Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 47.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 24.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grenoble would win this match.