Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 48.56%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Pau had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.72%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
