Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
