Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 15.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.2%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.