SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Niort had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Niort win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Niort |
| 48.92% | 25.21% | 25.87% |
| Both teams to score 52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.13% | 50.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% | 72.75% |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% | 20.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.52% | 53.48% |
| Niort Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.67% | 34.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.97% | 71.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Niort |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.56% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.64% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.2% Total : 25.87% |
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